anagement discussion and analysis
19 February 2008
Postpaid 1,028 892 809 776 751 689 650 685
Prepaid 316 266 258 239 227 217 205 209
Blended 400 337 319 300 290 274 254 256
*new ARPU excl. IC 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07
(Bt: net all-in)
GSM Advance 1,104 964 876 845 811 741 696 744
GSM 1800 907 815 805 806 781 773 760 739
Postpaid 1,091 955 872 843 809 742 698 743
Prepaid 340 286 277 262 249 234 222 227
Blended 429 362 343 328 317 295 274 279
*new ARPU incl. net IC 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07
(Bt: net all-in)
GSM Advance n/a n/a n/a n/a 788 708 665 696
GSM 1800 n/a n/a n/a n/a 781 773 760 739
Postpaid n/a n/a n/a n/a 787 710 668 698
Prepaid n/a n/a n/a n/a 263 258 233 238
Blended n/a n/a n/a n/a 326 312 282 283
MOU (minutes: outgoing 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07
only)
GSM Advance 476 521 559 550 587 504 511 573
GSM 1800 495 418 418 426 412 416 422 426
Postpaid 477 515 551 544 580 501 507 568
Prepaid 203 303 229 214 228 218 224 239
Blended 235 327 265 251 270 252 256 271
Traffic 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07
% outgoing to total n/a n/a n/a n/a 46% 47% 48% 48%
minute
% on-net to total n/a n/a n/a n/a 56% 63% 68% 70%
outgoing minute
* From 1Q08 onward, disclosure of ARPU will be based on new definition (net
all-in) only. Disclosure of "ARPU net voice + value-added service" will be
discontinued.
QUARTERLY REVIEW OF TARIFF PLANS
Prepaid plans for new subscription
Aow Pai Leoy Bt3, Bt3 for the first minute, Bt0.50/minute thereafter
0.50/min Call 1 AIS number at Bt0.25/minute
Sawasdee North East Call made in northeast area: Bt1/minute
Call made outside of northeast area: Bt2/minute on-net,
Bt4/minute off-net
Cost of SIM: Bt110, 1-year validity
Sawasdee SIM Mae Yok Tariff rate: Bt2 per minute to all networks
Cost of SIM: Bt50, Validity: Bt100 for 30 days
SIM Fifty Bt3 for the first minute, Bt1/minute thereafter
Cost of SIM: Bt50
SIM Fifty North Call made in northern area: Bt2 for the first minute,
Bt1/minute thereafter
Call made outside of northern area: Bt3 for the first
minute, Bt1/minute thereafter
Mini SIM Bt1.50 to all networks
Cost of SIM: Bt20
* Remark: Mini SIM is offered for limited amounts and
to selected subscribers only
Prepaid plans for existing subscribers
Flexi Call more than 3 minutes, Tariff: Bt5 for the first minute,
Bt0.25/minute thereafter
Call less than 3 minutes, Tariff: Bt3 for the first minute,
Bt1/minute thereafter
Short Call Bt3 for the first minute, Bt1/minute thereafter
Long Call Bt5 for the first minute, Bt0.25/minute thereafter
Day Call Bt199/month for unlimited on-net between 5am-5pm
5pm-5am & Off-net: Bt3 for the first minute, Bt1/minute
thereafter
Night Call Bt159/month for unlimited on-net between 10pm-10am
10am-10pm& off-net: Bt3 for the first minute, Bt1/minute
thereafter
SMS Lover Bt99/month for 500 SMS
Call charge: Bt3 for the first minute, Bt1/minute
thereafter
Sawasdee Unn Unn On-net Bt2/minute, Off-net Bt4/minute
1-year validity when top up at any value
Postpaid plans for new subscription
GSM 99/month Month 1-6 @ Bt1/min on-net (max Bt5/hour), Bt2/min off-
net (max Bt10/hour)
Month 7-12 @ Bt1/min on-net, Bt2/min off-net
GSM buffet 159/month On-net: 5am-5pm unlimited, 5pm-5am Bt2 for the first
minute, Bt1/minute thereafter
Off-net: Bt2 for the first minute, Bt1/minute
Postpaid plans for existing subscribers
GSM buffet 299/month On-net: 11pm-5pm unlimited, 5pm-11pm Bt2 for the
first minute, Bt1/minute
Off-net: Bt2 for the first minute, Bt1/minute
GSM Night Call 299/month 11pm-5pm: Bt2 for the first minute, Bt0.50/minute
thereafter to all networks
5pm-11pm: Free call any network 30 minutes/day,
exceed 30 minutes tariff: Bt2 for the first minute,
Bt0.50/minute
GSM Ta-Luang package Bt300/month @Bt2 for the first minute, then
Bt1/minute, Free call 10 minutes/day
Bt600/month @Bt2 for the first minute, then
Bt1/minute, Free call 25 minutes/day
Bt900/month @Bt2 for the first minute, then
Bt1/minute, Free call 40 minutes/day
CHANGE OF DEFINITION
In accordance with the international practice, we have adjusted ARPU disclosure
to better reflect all revenues generated from the mobile network. We believe
the new definition should provide a more transparent representation of our
reported service revenue and maintain the conservative approach of recognizing
revenue on the net basis. The revenue items included in the calculation of ARPU
figures are based on consolidated revenue according to the Thai accounting
standard. The changes of ARPU definition are outlined accordingly.
ARPU
Old ARPU New ARPU (All-in)
(voice + value-added service)
Definition Consolidated revenue from voice Consolidated service revenue
and value-added services divided excluding international call
by average of subscribers at the revenue from AIN divided by
beginning and ending period. average of subscribers at the
beginning and ending period.
= Voice revenue + VAS revenue =Service revenue excluding AIN revenue
(beg.sub + end.sub) / 2 (beg.sub + end.sub) / 2
Revenue X Voice X Voice
composition X Value-added service (call X Value-added service (call
management, SMS, MMS, data) management, SMS, MMS, data)
International roaming International roaming
International call via CAT,TOT X International call via CAT,TOT
International call via AIN X Others
(AIS subsidiary)
Others International call via AIN
(AIS subsidiary)
All categories are net of All categories are net of
third-party sharing and third-party sharing and
commission commission
From 1Q08 onward, disclosure of ARPU will be based on new definition (net all-
in) only. Disclosure of "ARPU net voice + value-added service" will be
discontinued.
Glossary of terms and definitions
Operational data
Subscriber Number of registered SIM at ending period whose status is not
defined as churn
Postpaid churn Subscribers whose payment status is overdue more than 45 days
from due date
Prepaid churn Subscribers who do not make a refill within 37 days after
validity expires
Net additions Change of number of subscribers and ending period from the
beginning period
New all-in ARPU Consolidated service revenue excluding international call
excl. IC revenue from AIN divided by average of subscriber at the
beginning and ending period. It includes voice revenue,
value-added services, international roaming, international
call and other revenues such as national roaming, broadband
and transmission
New all-in ARPU Including net interconnection (IC revenue - IC cost)
incl. IC
MOU Number of billed outgoing minutes generated from voice call
including international call usage and SMS divided by average
subscriber
Churn rate Number of subscriber disconnections in the period divided by
the sum of gross new subscribers in the period and the
subscribers at the beginning period
Non-voice (data) Includes all non-voice services e.g. SMS, MMS, GPRS, ring-back
tone,infotainment and data transmission; excluding call
management service e.g. call forward, conference call, call
divert
Financial data
EBITDA margin Operating profit before depreciation on property and
equipment,amortization of assets under concession,
amortization of computer software, amortization of concession
right, goodwill, and allowance for impairment as a percentage
to total revenue
Interest Coverage Interest expense for the period divided by operating profit
for the period
DSCR Debt service coverage ratio calculated EBITDA after tax
divided by repayment of short-term borrowings and current
portion of long-term borrowings and debentures and interest
paid for the period
Net Debt / EBITDA Short-tem and long-term interest-bearing debts minus cash
divided by EBITDA
Net Debt / Equity Short-tem and long-term interest-bearing debts minus cash
divided by total shareholder's equity at ending period
Interest-bearing Short-tem and long-term interest-bearing debts divided by
Debt to Equity total shareholder's equity at ending period
Total Liabilities Total liabilities at ending period divided by total
to Equity shareholder's equity at ending period
Free cash flow (EBITDA - capex - tax) / (market capitalization + book
to EV value of net debt)
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Disclaimer
"Some statements made in this presentation are forward-looking statements,
which are subject to various risks and uncertainties. These include statements
with respect to our corporate plans, strategies and beliefs and other
statements that are not historical facts. These statements can be identified
by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "may" , "will" ,"expect" ,
"anticipate", "intend" , "estimate" , "continue" "plan" or other similar
words. The statements are based on our management's assumptions and beliefs
in light of the information currently available to us. These assumptions
involve risks and uncertainties which may cause the actual results,
performance or achievements to be materially different from any future
results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such
forward-looking statements.