Management's Discussion and Analysis
23 February 2007
Management's Discussion and Analysis
Overview
As at end of December 2006, AIS and its subsidiaries ("The Group") had
a total of 19.5 million mobile subscribers, comprising of 2.2 million
postpaid subscribers (GSM Advance and GSM 1800) and 17.3 million prepaid
(One-2-Call!) subscribers. This represented net additions of 3.1 million
in 2006 or 19% subscriber growth from last year. For 4Q06, the Group added
a total of 1.8 million subscribers, increased from 1.3 million for the
nine-month period of 2006 (9M06) and 315,700 in 4Q05.
Total revenues were Baht 91,428 million in 2006, a decline of 1.2% y-o-y
from Baht 92,517 million in 2005. Service revenues were Baht 76,053 million
in 2006, decreased 5.6% year-on-year (y-o-y) from Baht 80,534 million in 2005
due to aggressive market competitions. Sales revenues improved 28.3% y-o-y to
Baht 15,375 million in 2006, from Baht 11,983 million in 2005, resulted from
strong growth in handset sales. For 4Q06, the Group reported total revenues
of Baht 22,328 million, a fall of 8% y-o-y but increased 1.9% quarter-on-
quarter (q-o-q). Historically, service revenues in the fourth quarter are
usually the highest of the year as it is a festive season with the highest
usage. Nevertheless, service revenues in 4Q06 were relatively flat compared
to 3Q06 due to relatively low usage during October to November. This could be
a result of floods in many areas of Thailand since 3Q06.
The Group incurred higher total cost of Baht 55,956 million in 2006,
represented a 3.2% y-o-y increase from Baht 54,198 million in 2005 due mainly
to higher cost of sales. Concession fee and excise tax as percentage to
service revenues were 24.7% in 2006, increased from 23.9% in 2005 as a result
of a full year impact from an increase in regulatory fee on postpaid service.
SG&A expenses were Baht 11,421 million in 2006, increased 13.4% y-o-y from
Baht 10,067 million in 2005 because of higher marketing expenses,
administrative expenses and staff costs.
In this period, the Group recorded other income of Baht 1,015 million,
increased 74.1% y-o-y from Baht 583 million in 2005 mainly from interest
income. Net profit was Baht 16,256 million in 2006, declined 13.2% from
Baht 18,725 million in 2005.
Results of operations - yearly comparison
Million Baht
FY2006 FY2005 % change
Restated y-o-y
Service revenue 76,053 80,534 (5.6%)
Sales revenue 15,375 11,983 28.3%
Total revenue 91,428 92,517 (1.2%)
Total cost 55,956 54,198 3.2%
Gross profit 35,473 38,318 (7.4%)
SG&A 11,421 10,067 13.4%
Earnings before tax 23,568 27,339 (13.8%)
Net profit 16,256 18,725 (13.2%)
Revenues & Profitability
Total Revenue
Total revenues were Baht 91,428 million in 2006, a decline of 1.2% y-o-y
from Baht 92,517 million in 2005. Of total revenues, 83.2% represented
revenues from mobile services and the rest 16.8% was from handset and SIM
card sales.
Service revenues were Baht 76,053 million in 2006, decreased 5.6% y-o-y
from Baht 80,534 million in 2005 despite of 19% subscriber growth due mainly
to aggressive tariff plans in tough competitive environment during 2006.
In 4Q06, the Group reported total revenues of Baht 22,328 million, a fall of
8% y-o-y but increased 1.9% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q). Historically, service
revenues in the fourth quarter are usually the highest of the year as it is
a festive season with the highest usage. Nevertheless, service revenues in
4Q06 were relatively flat compared to 3Q06 due to relatively low usage during
October to November. This could be a result of floods in many areas of
Thailand since 3Q06.
Sales revenues increased 28.3% y-o-y to Baht 15,375 million in 2006 from
Baht 11,983 million in 2005 attributed to strong growth in handset sales.
Sales revenue represented 16.8% of total revenue, increased from 13% in 2005.
Total Cost
Total cost includes cost of services and equipment rentals, concession fee
and excise tax, and cost of sales. In 2006 The Group incurred Baht 55,956
million of total cost, increased 3.2% y-o-y from Baht 54,198 million in 2005.
Cost of services and equipment rentals were Baht 23,139 million in 2006,
decreased 4.4% y-o-y from Baht 24,205 million in 2005 attributed to a fall of
network amortization cost as some assets under concession agreement had been
fully amortized.
In 2006, the Group started to book a numbering fee to the National
Telecommunications Commission (NTC) at Baht1/number/month for existing
number received before September 2006 and at Baht2/number/month for new
number granted by NTC.
The concession fee and excise tax were Baht 18,754 million in 2006, decreased
2.4% y-o-y from Baht 19,215 million in 2005. Concession fee and excise tax as
percentage of service revenue in 2006 was 24.7%, increased from 23.9% in 2005
as a result of a full year impact from an increase in regulatory fee on
postpaid service. Regulatory fee for GSM Advance increased from 25% to the
highest step of 30% since October 2005 while that of GSM 1800 increased from
20% to 25% since September 2006.
Cost of sales were Baht 14,063 million in 2006 increased 30.5% y-o-y from
Baht 10,778 million in 2005. This represented sales margin of 8.5% in 2006
compared to 10% in 2005 due to pressured handset margin in the market and
a clearance of stock at year-end.
Selling and administrative expenses were Baht 11,421 million in 2006,
represented an increase of 13.4% y-o-y from Baht 10,067 million in 2005 due
to higher marketing expenses, administrative expenses and staff costs.
In 2006, marketing expenses to total revenues grew to 3.7% from 2.9% in 2005
due to increasing marketing activities and spending on refreshments of
the Group's three brands - GSM Advance, One-2-call! and Sawasdee. Staff costs
rose 26% as the group has under provided staff bonus for FY05. This caused
lower-than-usual staff expense in FY05 but higher-than-usual staff expense
in FY06.
The Group incurred a slight increase of interest expenses of Baht 1,538
million in 2006, increased slightly from Baht 1,529 million in 2005 despite
of higher borrowings because new debenture and syndicated loan were borrowed
during the end of the year. The Group issued long-term debentures of total
Baht 11,427 million around end of 3Q06 and borrowed a JPY-denominated
syndicated loan which was fully-swap into Thai Baht in total of Baht 9,485
million in 4Q06. The purpose of borrowing was to finance capital expenditure,
refinance matured debts and support its operations.
Net Profit
The Group posted a net profit of Baht 16,256 million in 2006, a fall of 13.2%
y-o-y from Baht 18,725 million in 2005.
Liquidity
As at end of December 2006, current ratio improved to 74% from 55% as of
December 2005. This was resulted from an increase in amount of cash and
cash equivalents, handset inventories and prepaid expenses for refill card.
Current assets
As of 31 December 2006, the Group's current assets was Baht 22,893 million,
increased 12.5% from Baht 20,347 million as of 31 December 2005 due to
increase in cash, handset inventories and prepaid expenses for refill card.
Current liabilities
Total current liabilities decreased to Baht 31,039 million as at end of
December 2006 from Baht 36,734 million at the end of December 2005 due to
decrease in current portion of long-term debt.
31 December 2006 31 December 2005
Million Baht % Total Million Baht % Total
Liabilities Liabilities
Short term loans
from financial
institution 1,000 1.8% - -
Trade accounts
payable 5,760 10.2% 4,520 9.4%
Current portion of
long-term debentures,
net, and long-term
borrowings 6,507 11.5% 14,241 29.7%
Concession right
payable, accrued
concession fee and
excise tax 7,155 12.6% 7,354 15.3%
Other current
liabilities 10,616 18.7% 10,619 22.1%
Assets
Total assets, as of 31 December 2006 was Baht 134,301 million, grew by
Baht 6,341 million from Baht 127,960 million as of 31 December 2005.
The increase came from increases in cash & cash equivalents and asset under
concession agreement as the Company continued to invest in network capacity
and quality.
Current assets accounted for 17.0% of total assets. Details of major items
were as follows.
31 December 2006 31 December 2005
Million Baht % of Total Million Baht % of Total
Assets Assets
Current assets 22,893 17.0% 20,347 15.9%
Property, plant and
equipment, net 7,797 5.8% 8,259 6.5%
Asset under concession
agreement, net 81,096 60.4% 75,843 59.3%
Deferred tax assets 9,763 7.3% 8,946 7.0%
Other non-current
assets 12,752 9.5% 14,565 11.4%
Capital structure
The Group's balance sheet and capital structure remained strong which support
company's ability to continue high dividend payout. The strong capital
structure reflected in low total liabilities to equity at 73% as of
31 December 2006, compared to 60% as of 31 December 2005. The increase in
ratio was a result of an increase in total borrowings in this period.
Net debt to equity (Net debt = total debentures and borrowings minus cash)
also increased to 26% as of 31 December 2006 from 18% as of 31 December
2005.
Despite of increased leverage, the Group has its credit rating maintained at
AA from TRIS and A- from S&P. This also supports the company to continue
paying high dividend.
Debentures and Loans
As at end of December 2006, the Group had total debentures and borrowings of
Baht 33,149 million, rising from Baht 25,451 million in 2005. In 3Q06,
the Group issued long-term debentures of Baht 11,427 million and in 4Q06
borrowed a JPY-denominated syndicated loan which was fully-swap into Thai
Baht in total of Baht 9,485 million. The purpose of borrowings was to finance
capital expenditure, refinance matured debts and support its operations.
The issued debentures have 3-7 years of maturity with an average interest
rate of 5.90% per annum. Syndicated loan has a 5-year maturity with a bullet
payment and average interest rate of ~5.4-5.6% per annum.
31 December 2006 31 December 2005
Million Baht % Total Million Baht % Total
Liabilities Liabilities
Short term borrowing 1,000 1.8% - -
Current portion of
long-term debentures,
net, and long-term
borrowings 6,507 11.5% 14,241 29.7%
Long-term debentures,
net, and long-term
borrowings 25,642* 45.2% 11,210 23.3%
Total interest bearing
debts 33,149 58.5% 25,451 53.0%
* JPY-denominated syndicated loan swap into Thai Baht in total of Baht 9,485
million
Shareholders' equity
The Group's shareholder's equity decreased to Baht 77,599 million as of
31 December 2006 from Baht 79,935 million as of 31 December 2005, mainly due
to dividend payment of total Baht 18,669 million.
Cash Flow
In 2006, cash flow position remained strong. The Group generated net cash
flow from operations (after interest, tax, and changes in working capital) of
Baht 35,026 million and had proceed from short term loan, new debentures and
borrowings of Baht 21,895 million. The use of funds was to spend on capital
expenditure of Baht 20,097 million, repay long term debenture of Baht 14,250
million, repay financial lease of Baht 16.5 million, and dividend payment of
Baht 18,669 million. The rest amount was kept as cash on hand.