THAILAND'S ADVANCED INFO SERVICE RATED "BBB"
13 December 1996
THAILANDS ADVANCED INFO SERVICE RATED BBB
Standard & Poors today has assigned its BBB long-term foreign currency
rating to Thailand-based mobile phone company Advanced Info Service
Public Co.,Ltd (AIS). The rating reflects the solid business base in
Thailand for mobile phones, AISs position within the mobile phone industry,
and the companys strong balance-sheet and financial profile. Offsetting
these positive factors is AISs recent commencement of a large capital
expenditure program and continued regulatory uncertainty.
Despite a recent slowing of the Thai economy , demand in Thailand for
cellular phones continues to grow strongly, fuelled by on going traffic
problems in Bangkok, shortages of fixed lines, expansion of the mobile
networks into the provinces, reductions in handset prices, and
long-distance mobile tariffs that often are cheaper than fixed-line charges.
AIS was the first private company in Thailand to be granted a concession to
build-transfer-operate a mobile network, and has used this timing advantage
to become the largest provider of cellular services , with a marker share
of around 52%. While clearly dominant in the analogue marker, AIS currently
lags its main competitor in the digital market, but is expected to recover
ground as the company adopts a more aggressive marketing stance following
expansion of its digital network.
Strong revenue generation and a conservative financial structure have
resulted in solid interest coverage ratios of more than 10 times for the
past three years. Recent reductions in debt will see even stronger ratios
for 1996. In September 1996, however, AIS negotiated its concession and
can now build its own backbone network throughour Thailad . AIS will use a
significant proportion of debt to finance this backbone, and beyone 1996
standard & Poors experts financial ratios to moderate towards levels seen
in the recent past.
The structure and regulation of the Thai telecommunications industry
continues to evolve in line with a draft Master Plan prepared by the
Ministry of Transport and Communication. The election of a new Government
in November 1996, however, has delayed necessary legislative changes, and
the final regulatory structure, and timetable for achieving that structure,
will not be know for some time yet.
The outlook is stable. AIS recently has commenced a major capital expenditure
program, and the associated financing will significantly increase debt levels
over the next two years. However, strong projected cash flows, combined with
currently conservative capital structure, make the capital expenditure
program manageable.