Opinion of the Company on the Tender Offer (Form 250-2)
22 กุมภาพันธ์ 2549
Opinion of the Company on the Tender Offer
February 16, 2006
To: The Shareholders
Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited
On February 1, 2006, Advanced Info Service (the "Company" or "AIS"),
a public company incorporated in Thailand, received a copy of the
Tender Offer to purchase the Company's securities (Form 247-4) from
Cedar Holdings Limited ("Cedar") and Aspen Holdings Limited ("Aspen")
(collectively the "Offerors"), details of which are as follows:
Type of Number of Perdentage Tender Total
Securities Securities To the To the Offer offering
Shares Voting total total Price(1) Value
right issued voting (Baht per (Baht)
securities rights unit)
of the
company
Ordinary 2,948,591,108(3) 2,948,591,108 100.00% 100.00% 72.31 213,212,623,019.48
Shares(2)
Total 100.00% Total 213,212,623,019.48
The Tender Offer period commenced on February 2, 2006 and will
end on March 21, 2006, totalling 33 business days, between 9.00 a.m.
and 4.30 p.m. daily.
The Company has considered the offers in this Tender Offer by
paying due regard to the interests of securities holders,
and would like to express an opinion to support your
consideration as follows:
(1) The Offeree is subject to the brokerage fee of 0.25 per cent
of the Offer price and value-added tax of 7 per cent of the
brokerage commission. Therefore, the net proceeds to be received
by the Offeree will be Baht 72.1166 for each ordinary share.
These offers, and other offers in the Tender Offer, including
the tender offer period, are final, except where the following
conditions are met: 1) the Offerors may reduce the Offer Price
or extend the tender offer period if any event or action causing
a material damage to the financial status or assets of the Company
occurs during the tender offer period; 2) the Offerors may change
the offers or extend the tender offer period to compete with another
offeror who has submitted a tender offer for securities of the Company
during the tender offer period.
(2) The Offerors would tender for 6,991,478 additional shares
assuming the exercise of all ESOPs before the end of Tender period.
If all ESOPs are exercised, the Offerors would tender for a total
of 2,955,582,586 ordinary shares representing 100.00 per cent of
the total issued securities
(3) However, of such amount, 1,263,712,000 shares, representing
42.86% of the Company's total outstanding shares, are held by
Shin Corporation Public Company Limited ("SHIN"). SHIN has already
stated its intention not to sell any of its shares in the Company
in Appendix 1 of the Tender Offer.
1.0 The Status of the Business in Respect of its Past and
Future Operating Results and Projections, including Assumptions
1.1 Nature of Business
AIS and its subsidiaries' major business involve the operation
of a mobile phone network on two frequencies, one of which is
on the 900MHz frequency under a 20-year Build-transfer-operate
(BTO) concession granted by the TOT Public Company Limited ("TOT")
in 1990. In 1996, the concession was extended by 5 years,
and will expire in 2015. AIS' responsibilities include network
engineering, network planning, equipment procurement and
installation, network maintenance, and service commercialization.
AIS' subsidiary, Digital Phone Co., Ltd. ("DPC"), provides
service on the 1800MHz frequency under a 16-year BTO concession
granted by the CAT Telecom Public Company Limited ("CAT") in 1990.
The concession will expire in 2013. AIS has network roaming
agreement with DPC. In addition, DPC also involves in the
distribution of mobile handsets and accessories.
AIS currently invests in subsidiaries, joint ventures,
and affiliates as shown below:
1.2 Group structure as at February 2, 2006
Company name Business % Ownership
by the Company
1. Advanced Data Provides a range of 51.00
Network Communications online data communication
Co., Ltd. via telephone line
services nationwide
2. Data Network Provides a range of 49.00
Solutions Co., Ltd. online data communication
via telephone line services
for existing customers
3. Digital Phone Co., Ltd. Operates cellular network 98.55
in the 1800 MHz frequency
and imports and distributes
telecommunication equipments
4. Advanced Contact Provides call center services 99.99
Center Co., Ltd. to AIS and other companies
that need call center services.
5. Mobile From Advance Not operated 99.99
Co., Ltd.
6. Data Line Thai Internet Service Provider 65.00
Co., Ltd. (ISP)
7. Advanced MPay Co., Ltd. Provide services based on 69.99
the mobile electronic payment
system
8. Advanced Magic Card Operate selling and distribution 99.99
Co., Ltd. of cash card
9. AIS Wireless Provide telecommunication 99.93
Communication Network services throughout Thailand
Co., Ltd. and aboard. All three new companies
are in the process of applying
for the necessary licenses.
Currently, they have not
started their operations.
10.AIS Wire Network Provide telecommunication 99.93
Co., Ltd. services throughout Thailand
and aboard. All three new companies
are in the process of applying
for the necessary licenses.
Currently, they have not
started their operations.
11.AIS International Provide telecommunication 99.93
Network Co., Ltd. services throughout Thailand
and aboard. All three new companies
are in the process of applying
for the necessary licenses.
Currently, they have not
started their operations.
1.3 List of major shareholders as at August 25, 2005
Name No. of shares % holding
1.Shin Corporation
Public Co., Ltd. 1,263,712,000 42.86
2.SingTel Strategic
Investments Pte. Ltd. 568,000,000 19.26
3.Littledown Nominees
Limited 120,330,900 4.08
4.Thai Trust Fund Management
Co., Ltd. 64,039,000 2.17
5.HSBC (Singapore) Nominees
Pte. Ltd. 58,183,635 1.97
6.The Bank of New York
(Nominees) Ltd. 56,835,769 1.93
7.State Street Bank and
Trust Company 53,196,431 1.80
8.Chase Nominees Limited 1 46,056,716 1.56
9.HSBC Bank PLC-Clients
General A/C 44,598,070 1.51
10.Mellon Bank, N.A. 40,440,719 1.37
11.Other shareholders 633,197,868 21.47
Total 2,948,591,108 100.00
1.4 Financial results
Consolidated 2002 2003 2004 9M05
(in Baht '000s)
Total asset 126,085,368 124,949,176 121,167,600 117,120,472
Total liabilities 74,844,121 65,322,972 53,080,432 51,027,737
Shareholders'
equity 51,241,247 59,626,204 68,087,168 66,092,735
Total revenues 80,251,401 89,643,698 96,437,485 68,248,939
Total expenses 58,643,006 61,739,026 64,022,507 46,930,465
Net profit/(loss) 11,430,301 18,529,019 20,258,049 13,953,455
Earning/(loss)
per share (Baht) 3.89 6.31 6.88 4.74
Book value per
share (Baht) 17.46 20.29 23.12 22.41
Key ratios
Liquidity
ratio (times) 0.63 0.53 0.69 0.58
Net profit margin (%) 14.05 20.48 20.87 20.31
Return on equity (%) 24.92 33.62 32.00 29.58
Return on assets (%) 18.61 22.88 26.86 24.73
Debt to equity ratio
(times) 1.47 1.10 0.79 0.78
Interest coverage
ratio (times) 7.27 11.14 15.53 18.33
1.5 Discussion of 2004 and 9M05 Performance
As at the end of year 2004, the Company and its subsidiaries
("The Group") registered a total of 15,184,000 mobile phone
subscribers, comprising of 2,120,300 GSM advance and GSM 1800
subscribers and 13,063,700 One-2-Call! subscribers. This was
an increase of 1,944,800 subscribers or 14.7 per cent from
the total of 13,239,200 subscribers as at year-end 2003.
The Group's market share fell slightly to 57.1 per cent,
a 2.9 per cent drop from a year before. This was due to
the Group's strategy not to tap into price-sensitive segment
of the market that competitors were targeting. The Group's
objective is on sustainable revenues and profitability rather
than market share of subscribers. In order to retain subscribers,
The Group has introduced a number of measures including
segmentation strategies reflected in service offerings and
customer services of The Group. In addition, The Group remains
focus on the core values of the mobile service business
which are quality and coverage of the network.
Improved profitability was a result of retaining and
attracting high-quality customers. We managed to improve
our margin during the year 2004 evidenced by 18 per cent
growth in our pretax profit due mainly to growth of total
revenues at 8 per cent principally from 14 per cent growth
on service revenue and a decrease in selling and administrative
expenses.
Services and equipment rentals have been our primary source of
income, which includes revenues associated with the mobile
telecommunication business, data network communication services,
and the provision of call centre services. In 2004, revenues
from mobile phone services contributed 87 per cent of
the Group's total revenue, with handset sales contributing
another 12.5 per cent. Total cost constitutes cost of services
and equipment rentals, concession fee and excise tax and cost
of sales. In 2004 The Group incurred Baht 52,995 million of
total cost, rising by 7.2 per cent from Baht 49,419 million
in 2003. However The Group recorded a lower selling and
administrative expenses from Baht 12,320 million in 2003
down to Baht 11,028 million in 2004 (or a 10.5 per cent
decrease year-on-year).
The Group's net profit increased from Baht 18,529 million
in 2003 to Baht 20,258 million in 2004, an increase of 9.3
per cent, due to the reasons mentioned above.
As at 3Q05, the Group had the total of 16,093,200 mobile
phone subscribers, comprising of 2,078,000 postpaid subscribers
on GSM Advance and GSM 1800 and 14,014,800 prepaid subscribers
on One-2-Call!. The subscriber base grew 278,700 or 1.8 per cent
due mainly to an increase in One-2-Call! subscribers. For the
nine-month period, the Group showed the net profit of Baht 13,953
million, down 9.1 per cent compared to the same period of
previous year. Total revenue of Baht 68,249 million declined 5.2
per cent YoY while total cost increased slightly by 0.5 per cent.
However, selling and administrative expense, interest expense,
and corporate tax in total declined 14.9 per cent.
1.6 Financial status
As at September 30, 2005, the Group's total assets were
Baht 117,120 million, decreased by Baht 4,047 million
or 3.3 per cent from year end 2004. As a percentage of
total assets, current assets and non-current assets accounted
for 14.2 per cent and 85.8 per cent respectively. Total
liabilities were Baht 51,028 million at end of 3Q05, decreased
by Baht 2,053 million or 3.9 per cent from year end 2004. As at
September 30, 2005, the Group had total equity of Baht 66,093
million, decreased by Baht 1,994 million or 2.9 per cent from YE04.
Net income for the nine-month period was Baht 13,953 million.
The Company declared its dividend payment for the performance
of second half of 2004 at 2.60 baht per share in total of Baht
7,653 million which was paid on April 11, 2005. During the third
quarter, the Company declared an interim dividend payment for
the performance of first half of 2005 at 3.00 Baht per share
in total of Baht 8,839 million, which was paid on September 6, 2005.
1.7 Discussion of future operation
Thailand, along with other member countries, has commitments
with the World Trade Organization to liberalize its
telecommunications business within 2006. It is anticipated
that such liberalization would result in a higher number of new
service providers who have potential to compete in this business.
The, organization management, preparation of master plan, development
of telecommunications business, stipulation and enforcement of new
rules and regulations, and establishment of audit and evaluation
mechanism by the National Telecommunication Commission of Thailand
("NTC"), as well as the interpretation and enforcement of relevant
laws and the change in technology may lead to a complete change
of the outlook of Thai telecommunications business.
Industry outlook and competition in the mobile phone service
business remain intense as in previous years. The top 3 market
leaders AIS, Total Access Communications Public Company Limited
and TA Orange Company Limited, currently command over 97 per cent
of the total market. Service operators utilize many strategic
approaches to retain market shares and increase customer base.
Market competition tends to increase as operators attempt to
enhance their operating capabilities, create value added services
and offer wider range of services. Coverage expansion and network
signal improvement is also critical in capturing more market
share for operators. The Company views that the competition in
the future will be service-oriented rather than price-oriented,
particularly the customized content services that cater to different
segmentation needs.
With a continual increase in the total market subscriber base,
Thailand's cellular market penetration rate stood at approximately
48 per cent at the end of 2005, up from 44 per cent at the end of 2004.
Assessment of consumer behavior together with positive customer
responses to some new products and services, and the continued
improvement in national economic conditions are all reasons to
believe that Thailand's cellular industry will be able to achieve
higher penetration rate. The two most apparent areas of growth
would be the remaining untapped low-usage market and the multiple-
ownership market. Thus, industry growth in terms of subscriber
base could still be justifiably expected.
2.0 Opinion about the Accuracy of the Company's Information Stated
in the Tender Offer Statement
The Company's Directors are of the opinion that all information
relevant to the Company as shown in the Tender Offer statement
(Form 247-4) is accurate.
3.0 Relationships or any Agreements between the Company's
Director(s), either on His/Her own Behalf or in His/Her Capacity
as the Company's Director(s) or as Representative(s) of
the Director(s) of the Company in the Tender Offer and Any
Existing or Future Contracts or Agreements Made or to be Made
between Them in Such Matters as Administration Etc.
3.1 Relationships between the Company's Directors and the Offerors
in a matter of directorship
- As at January 25, 2006, Mr. Supadej Poonpipat, a director
of the Company, is a director of Kularb Kaew Co., Ltd
("Kularb Kaew") (4)
- As at January 25, 2006, Ms. Jeann Low Ngiap Jong, a director
of the Company, is a director of Singtel Strategic Investments
Pte. Ltd ("SingTel Strategic Investments"), which is
a wholly-owned subsidiary of Singapore Telecommunications
Limited ("SingTel") (5) in which Temasek Holdings (Private)
Limited ("Temasek") (6) is a major shareholder
- As at January 25, 2006, Mr. Hui Weng Cheong, a director of
the Company, is a director of SingTel Strategic Investments,
which is a wholly-owned subsidiary of SingTel5 in which
Temasek (6) is a major shareholder
- As at January 25, 2006, Mr. Boonklee Plangsiri, a director
of the Company, is a director of Shin Corporation Public
Company Limited ("SHIN") (7)
- As at January 25, 2006, Mrs. Siripen Sitasuwan, a director
of the Company, is a director of SHIN (7)
- As at January 25, 2006, Mr. Boonchoo Direksathapon , a director
of the Company, is a director of SCB Securities Co.,Ltd,
which is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Siam Commercial Bank
Public Company Limited ("SCB"). SCB is the holder of
3,960,000 shares or equivalent to 9.9 per cent of registered
capital of Cedar, which is one of the Offerors.
3.2 Relationships, either direct or indirect, between the Company's
Directors and the Offerors in a matter of shareholding
- As at January 25, 2006, Mr. Supadej Poonpipat, a director
of the Company, holds 2,000 shares or equivalent to 20 per
cent of Kularb Kaew (8)
- As at January 25, 2006, Mr. Boonklee Plangsiri, a director
of the Company, holds 1,342,000 shares or equivalent to
0.04474 per cent of SHIN (7)
- As at January 25, 2006, Mrs. Siripen Sitasuwan, a director
of the Company, holds 1,073,065 shares or equivalent to
0.03577 per cent of SHIN (7)
- As at January 25, 2006, Mr. Somprasong Boonyachai, a director
of the Company, holds 36 shares or equivalent to 0.000001
per cent of SHIN (7)
3.3 Contracts or agreements made or to be made between the
Company's Directors and the Offerors
None
(4) A holder of 16,440,000 shares or equivalent to 41.10 per cent
of registered capital of Cedar, which is one of the Offerors
(5) Through SingTel Strategic Investments, indirectly holds
568,000,000 shares or equivalent to 19.26 per cent of the Company
(6) Through its indirect subsidiaries, Cypress Holdings Limited
and Anderton Holdings Limited, is the largest shareholder of Cedar
and Aspen respectively
(7) In which the Offerors are major shareholders, holding 1,487,740,120
shares or equivalent to 49.59 per cent of SHIN as at January 23, 2006
(8) A holder of 16,440,000 shares or equivalent to 41.10 per cent
of registered capital of Cedar, which is one of the Offerors
(9) Directors who have vested interests abstained from voting
(10) Includes ESOP shares, if exercised before the end of the
Tender Offer period
4.0 Opinion of the Company's Board of Directors to the Securities
Holders
The Company held its Board of Directors Meeting on February 16,
2006 to consider the Tender Offer made by the Offerors. The Board
of Directors, excluding the Directors who have vested interests (9),
is of the unanimous Opinion that shareholders should not accept
the Offer.
4.1 Reason to accept or reject the Tender Offer
The Board of Directors, excluding the Directors who have vested
interests, has given consideration and is of the view that the
Offer Price to be received by the shareholders less brokerage
commission, thus resulting in the net Offer Price of Baht
72.1166 for each ordinary share (10) is not appropriate compared
with the price of shares of the Company which an independent
financial advisor appointed by it has appraised with several
approaches (please refer to section 5.0). Furthermore, shareholders
should consider selling their shares in the Stock Exchange of
Thailand ("SET") if the market price is higher than the Offer
Price. However, the Board of Directors, excluding the Directors
who have vested interests, recommends that the shareholders shall
also consider the uncertainty and the risk that may arise from
the plans and policies for the Company indicated in the Tender Offer
document, and the new shareholding structure and management at SHIN.
The shareholders are encouraged to make careful consideration of
these factors in conjunction with the opinion of the independent
financial advisor. The final decision is mainly based upon
the shareholders' discretion.
4.2 Opinions and reasons of each Director and the number of
shares held by each Director (only in case the opinion of the
Directors in 4.1 is not unanimous)
The Board of Directors' resolution is unanimous.
4.3 Benefits or impact of the plans and policies indicated in
the Offer document and the viability of such plans and policies
The Board of Directors, excluding the Directors who have vested
interests, is of the opinion that the Company should not be
materially affected from the plans and policies indicated in
the Offer document that the Offerors intend to work with
the Company's management and staff to continue with the
current business operations of the Company.
The Board of Directors, excluding the Directors who have vested
interests, views that the Offerors' intention to review the future
business strategy of the Company including business areas,
capital structure, mergers and acquisitions to enhance the Company's
growth and profitability and to maximize the shareholders' value
should benefit the Company and improve the Company's business
activities in the future due to the Offerors' extensive investment
and management experience in telecommunication businesses
in many countries.
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